Prepared for The Energy Collective (March 27, 2013). Re-posted here on April 25, 2013. The version below is edited slightly; if you want to read the original post, go
here.
I do a lot of thinking about what practical steps are needed
to break our addiction to fossil fuels, and this leads me to think that
electric power transmission is the (not
very sexy) key enabler for non-dispatchable energy sources like wind and
solar to become the basis of our energy economy. Local and especially off-grid
wind and solar generators are very unreliable (because the wind and sunlight
availability vary so much), and if power is to be available 24/7, then energy storage
and/or back-up generation are required to be as large as the maximum load. In aggregate, the cost and
environmental damage from all the storage and backup generators that would be
needed to enable off-grid renewable energy-based electrical systems to replace
our grid are much higher than if distant generators can share their power via a
supergrid.
The case for a supergrid is very sensibly made by several
organizations, including Global Energy Network
Institute and Friends
of the Supergrid for example; one of the key problems with the supergrid
concept is that the full benefits are not obtained until the system is
complete, because the crux idea of a continental-scale supergrid is to be able
to support inter-regional transmission on a massive scale. Hundreds of
gigawatts (GW) must be transmitted thousands of km for the aggregate
reliability of wind and solar to be greatly improved on a continental scale. That is so because for maximum effect the supergrid must be large enough to connect generators in
different weather systems. Since weather systems are
typically ~2500 km (~1500 miles) across, the supergrid does not begin to
fulfill its potential until it is quite large, after many billions of dollars
have been invested. This delayed benefits factor is very much holding up practical movement
towards a supergrid, and what we are currently getting instead is a patchwork
of transmission upgrades that are economically inefficient point-to-point
connections which will not later fit in as components of a future supergrid. The
fact that all these new power lines cannot later serve as components of a
supergrid actually decreases the probability that a supergrid will ultimately
be built (because we will have spent so much money on the wrong technologies). I
argue therefore that it is quite important to start building power system
upgrades that will make sense as parts of a supergrid in the future. This
implies that a common operating voltage for the supergrid must be defined
(probably between 500-800kV DC), and that high capacity lines that serve multiple
power taps (multi-terminal HVDC) must become the new norm.
(To consider all the
options and trade-offs for creating a supergrid requires a deep dive into power
transmission technology, for which I recommend reading Appendix A (pages 20-45) of my NYSERDA
grant application on “Using Electric Pipelines to Create a
Regional HVDC Grid;” for those
who are sufficiently interested, this linked document should be very helpful.)
One of the paramount properties of an electric grid is
reliability. In fact, the “three R’s” of an electric grid are reliability,
redundancy, and repairability. Redundancy has been formalized in a set of rules
that have been accepted worldwide by both IEC (international standards) and the North American Electric Reliability
Corporation (NERC); one of the most fundamental rules is that the grid must be
able to withstand the sudden outage of any given power line or generator without
experiencing a system collapse; this is known as the “n-1 rule” and limits the
maximum power that can safely be carried by any single grid-connected power line.
Typically, two independent connections are required before a large amount of
transmission can flow between two points on the grid according to the n-1 rule.
This has huge implications for the idea of incrementally building a supergrid,
because the large power lines that are needed to create a practical supergrid can
not carry their full rated power until enough of the supergrid is completed to
provide at least two independent connections between any two major power taps
(points where power is sent or received) before that much power can safely be
transmitted.
At present, HVDC connections are almost exclusively point-to-point
connections, which are severely limited by the n-1 redundancy rule as to how much
power can be transmitted. This limitation can be relaxed if instead of power
lines, we consider power loops, with on the order of six or more power taps per
loop. This is because of the unique property of a power loop that it provides
two independent connections between any two points on the loop: a clockwise
connection and a counterclockwise connection. In order to be able to take
advantage of this intrinsic redundancy, circuit breakers are needed between
every next neighbor set of power taps. In the case I presented as an example in
my 2009 NYSERDA (New York State Energy Research and Development Authority)
grant application Using Electric Pipes to Create a Regional
HVDC Grid, I presented this map:
Which shows seven power taps at Albany, New York City.
Atlanta, Saint Louis, Chicago, Akron, and Buffalo (three are within New York,
because I was applying to a New York agency for funding). Logically, a loop of
this size would be tied into the AC grid at far more places on the loop than
shown in the map above, but that implies higher transmission capacity for the
loop than I was contemplating in that 2009 document. The loop would not only
link large cities, but also remote energy sites, such as wind farms, hydropower and geothermal
energy sites, solar installations, pumped storage and other remote energy
storage sites, and maybe also conventional power plants of various kinds that
are remotely located. (What I did not consider in detail at that time was the
need for DC circuit breakers between each set of power taps; you can read about
that problem here.)
The importance of self-redundant loops is that they are the
natural “unit cells” of the supergrid. Each loop is self redundant if there are
enough circuit breakers (one for each power tap, located between the power
taps). I am not alone in advocating for the importance of HVDC loops.
Steve Eckroad of EPRI (Electric Power Research Institute) also filed a US
patent on stabilizing an urban area against a rolling blackout using HVDC
multi-terminal loops. Here is an illustration from his patent:
Note that Steve only called for three main loop circuit
breakers in his scheme because the available power electronic circuit breakers
he envisioned at that time are lossy (~0.5% power loss in the breaker itself)
as well as expensive, ~$35/kW, one fourth of the cost of a voltage source
converter (VSC) for converting HVAC to HVDC or HVDC to HVAC. Since then though,
ABB
has announced a breakthrough on HVDC circuit breakers with much lower on
state loss (~.005%), but estimated cost about the same as the power electronic
circuit breakers that Steve was considering ~$35/kW. My invention that I call a
Ballistic
Breaker™ can I believe be developed for HVDC applications at much lower
cost than ABB’s design. Demonstrating a realistic HVDC loop has become the most important next step in evolution of the supergrid.
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